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The cash flow RK Risk is a statistically determined characteristic number for risk evaluation. From the VALUE RK Risk it differs only by the base factor cash flow.

For the computation cash flow RK Risk is to be made first a decomposition the cash flow. As cash flow determining factors the concept the sizes of conversion, Cost OF Goods pay, marketing and administration expenditure, tax expenditure as well as the financial expenditure are the basis. For it flat or actual values is to be given. For the factors mentioned the standard deviation and the coefficients of correlation are to be evaluated. Historical data can here hardly be used. Due to a dynamic environment, with which a permanently changing risk landscape accompanies, no solid Datenreihen are present. The estimation of the correlations is very difficult and at a large number of measured variables complex. In the next step random numbers are to be generated for each factor of risk. This happens by means of the variance covariance method as well as the Cholesky dismantling. On this basis takes place a Monte Carlo simulation, which serves the production of a probability distribution. The cash flow RK Risk for individual safety levels with the available distribution function is determinable last.


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