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Type of risk (name) ecologists and environmental researchers call potential disasters with simultaneous computation of the occurrences and the consequences.

Overview

For the evaluation of global environmental risks with respect to the international committee work different risk types are differentiated:

  • Zyklop means a combination of "“high damage in the case of entrance"” and "“unknown quantity probability"”. Example: Earthquake
  • Pythia means a combination of "“unknown damage in the case of entrance"” and "“unknown quantity probability"”. Example: BSE
  • Damokles means a combination of "“high damage in the case of entrance"” and "“smallest probability"”. Example: Break of a dam
  • Pandora means an irreversible effect of materials or things on the environment their effects is still to a large extent unknown. Example: Environmental poisons
  • Kassandra means a large temporary span between the cause and the case of loss. Example: Climatic change
  • Medusa means ambiguity and disagreement over a cause and damage. Example: Electrical smog

Name-giving are persons and natures from the Greek mythology. (To the detailed information please these from here call.) with this classification different possible extent of the damage, their Eintrittswahrscheinlicheit and the perception by risks in the public into categories are arranged.

Types

The risk types in detail:

Kassandra

Under several risk types describes named "“Kassandra"” the dangers, with which a long time interval is between causing and the entrance of a heavy damage. (The word refers to the antique Seherin Kassandra, which foresaw always correctly, however never the someone believed.)

With this type of risk it is recommended that by collective self obligation and promotion of global institutions on a long-term basis put on the responsibility of the states and/or the societies for future generations is strengthened. For this also the information of the public about the consequences of the Nichthandelns counts.

Classical example is the climatic change.

Zyklop

The type of risk "“Zyklop"” means a gigantic, devastating damage in the case of entrance. Everyone is clear: if it comes to a damage, that will be enormous. However the entrance of this event in its probability is not well-known or estimatable.

The combination thus of "“high damage in the case of entrance"” and "“unknown probability"” constitutes the type "“Zyklop"”.

An example earthquakes could be or large inundations.

Pythia

The type of risk "“Pythia"” means, neither the extent of a damage to be able to estimate nor its probability. The combination thus of "“unknown quantities damage in the case of entrance"” and "“unknown probability"” constitutes the type "“Pythia"”.

An example for this is the occurrence of BSE.

Pythia was in the Greek mythology the Hohepriesterin of the Orakels of Delphi.

Damokles

The type of risk "„Damokles "“means a gigantic, devastating damage in the case of entrance. Everyone is clear: if it comes to a damage, that will be enormous. However the entrance of this event in its probability is only as very small estimatable.

The combination thus of "“high damage in the case of entrance"” and "“smallest probability"” constitutes the type "“Damokles"”.

An example could be the break of a dam or the core melt-through in an atomic power plant (disaster of Tschernobyl).

This type of risk is designated after the antique Damokles, over whose head on a very thin thread a sword hung.

Pandora

The type of risk of the "“can of the Pandora"” is characterized by a long effect of materials or things, which cannot be cancelled any longer, whose does not admit long-term effects however in are or be estimated can.

Examples for this are the entry of chemical poisons into the environment.

Medusa

The type of risk of the "“Medusa"” is characterized by ambiguity and disagreement. While specialists answer in the negative a risk and decline, parts of the public be frightened, and there is a high mobilization potential, for example over the media.

An example for this are electromagnetic fields in the environment: the discussion over the electrical smog.

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